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Journal of Allergy and Clinical Immunology

Elsevier BV

Preprints posted in the last 7 days, ranked by how well they match Journal of Allergy and Clinical Immunology's content profile, based on 25 papers previously published here. The average preprint has a 0.04% match score for this journal, so anything above that is already an above-average fit.

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Metatranscriptomics-Derived Disease Risk Scores as a Preventive, Diagnostic, and Treatment Support Tool

Hu, L.; Bass, M.; Patridge, E.; Molusky, M.; Antoine, G.; Vuyisich, M.; Banavar, G.

2026-06-06 genetic and genomic medicine 10.64898/2026.05.29.26354333 medRxiv
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Background: Chronic diseases and symptom syndromes often develop after prolonged biological changes that may precede formal diagnosis. RNA-based metatranscriptomics captures active microbial and human gene expression and may provide a functional layer for disease risk evaluation. To address this translational gap, we developed and validated a Disease Risk Score (DRS) framework that integrates metatranscriptome-derived pathway activity scores from stool, saliva, and blood samples, and evaluated its potential clinical utility as an adjunct risk-evaluation tool. Methods: DRS uses disease-specific sets of pathway activity scores derived from stool and saliva microbial functions, stool and saliva microbial taxa, and blood human gene expression. For each disease, 'not optimal' pathway scores are aggregated into a normalized cumulative odds ratio, or cOR, using score-level odds ratios, statistical significance, and literature-supported biological relevance derived from a Development Cohort of 22,369 individuals. A cOR [≥] 5 is defined as high risk. Performance is evaluated in an independent Validation Cohort of 15,908 individuals using self-reported diseases as the reference. Disease support requires both significant cOR separation between self-reported and not-reported (Cohen's d [≥] 0.2) and risk ratio enrichment of self-reported disease among individuals classified as high risk (95% CI of Risk Ratio > 1). Results: Of 20 initially evaluated diseases, 15 meet the prespecified validation criteria on the independent validation cohort: ADHD, anxiety, chronic fatigue syndrome, depression, GERD, hypertension, inflammatory bowel disease, IBS-C, IBS-D, insomnia, MASLD, obesity, obstructive sleep apnea, Sjogren's syndrome, and type 2 diabetes. Five selected clinical scenarios illustrate how DRS can support clinician-mediated decision making, including IBS subtype reclassification, improved diagnostic acceptance in IBS-D, personalized lifestyle counseling in MASLD and early type 2 diabetes, and diagnostic uncertainty in atypical GERD. Conclusions: DRS is a metatranscriptomics-based risk-stratification framework that aggregates active microbial and human pathway signals into interpretable disease-specific risk estimates across a wide range of disease conditions. Validation against self-reported disease labels in an independent cohort shows significant risk enrichment for each of 15 diseases. DRS is intended as an adjunct to clinical evaluation: a decision support tool in situations where routine care encounters uncertainty, delay, or low patient engagement. Future prospective studies using clinically adjudicated endpoints are needed to assess calibration and clinical outcomes.

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Exploratory dried blood spot metabolomics identifies pathway-level convergence with ME/CFS biology in a self-reported PEM-like fatigue phenotype

Hauguel, P.; Anctil, N.; Noel, L.-P.

2026-06-10 rheumatology 10.64898/2026.06.08.26355197 medRxiv
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Background. Plasma and serum metabolomic studies of myalgic encephalomyelitis / chronic fatigue syndrome (ME/CFS) have repeatedly implicated hypometabolic, lipid, mitochondrial, redox and tryptophan-kynurenine pathways, but prior cohorts have been modest in size and have used heterogeneous case definitions. Whether similar pathway-level signals are detectable at scale in dried blood spots (DBS), across questionnaire-derived fatigue constructs and across orthogonal LC gradients in the same individuals remains unresolved. Methods. We profiled DBS extracts from 1,784 community-cohort adults by reverse-phase LC-MS using paired 5 min and 15 min gradients. Six questionnaire-derived endpoints captured a pragmatic self-reported PEM-like phenotype, a DSQ-derived PEM-like construct, high or review clinical status, temporal fatigue state, comorbid fatigue and self-reported chronic fatigue. The locked primary endpoint for Phase 1 was pragmatic_fatigue_pem with 226 cases and 914 controls after excluding major metabolic comorbidity. We tested a biology-first panel comprising 22 literature-curated metabolites represented by four participant-level descriptors each, and evaluated three discovery extensions: a targeted m/z search of additional literature candidates, a hypothesis-free univariate screen across 4,553 5 min and 5,625 15 min consensus features, and pairwise z-difference ratios. Endpoint-specific Ridge classifiers were evaluated by five-fold out-of-fold AUC with bootstrap stability filtering. Cross-gradient agreement was assessed by per-metabolite AUC concordance between paired 5 min and 15 min profiles. Severity was modelled as an ordinal grade derived from the number of fatigue criteria met and chronic-fatigue-form status. Results. The biology-first DBS panel achieved out-of-fold AUC 0.81 for the pragmatic self-reported PEM-like endpoint (226 cases / 914 controls). The DSQ-derived PEM-like construct reached AUC 0.60 (57 cases / 201 controls) on the un-filtered set and AUC 0.778 (SD 0.013, twenty seeds) in a post-hoc signature-decomposition follow-up restricted to participants without a self-declared major-metabolic-history tag (29 cases / 230 controls); both are treated as construct-validity anchors rather than as provoked or clinically adjudicated PEM. An optimised operationalisation of the same construct (panel-self normalisation, restriction to non-comorbid participants and demographic covariates) reached AUC 0.71 (95 % CI 0.55 to 0.76), and an exploratory age-stratified signature decomposition suggested age-dependent pathway composition that requires confirmation given small per-stratum case counts. Stable contributors mapped to carnitine-shuttle, TCA-cycle, redox-thiol and tryptophan-kynurenine pathways. Cross-gradient analysis of 22 matched metabolites yielded Pearson r = 0.62 for signed univariate effects (p = 0.002; 68 % directional agreement). The metabolomic score increased with severity grade (Spearman rho = 0.45, p = 4 x 10^-91; median scores 0.24, 0.51 and 0.75 across grades 0, 1 and 2). Sensitivity analyses on the covariate-complete subset (n = 565; 138 cases / 427 controls) showed that the DBS signal was robust to adjustment for age, sex, BMI and medication burden (DBS-only AUC 0.76, DBS plus covariates 0.78, covariates only 0.64), and produced a metabolomic-specific lift of approximately 0.13 AUC over the strongest anti-leak declarative cross-form questionnaire baseline (AUC 0.63). DBS-only AUC was stable across sex, age and BMI subgroups, and a 1:4 nearest-neighbour matched analysis on age, sex and BMI yielded AUC 0.72 (95 % CI 0.67 to 0.77). The observed pattern supported pathway-level convergence with prior ME/CFS metabolomics literature, including carnitine shuttle, fatty-acid beta-oxidation, TCA cycle, redox-thiol, urea cycle, glycerophospholipid and tryptophan-kynurenine axes. In contrast, the hypothesis-free 15 min screen produced high-AUC features that mapped predominantly to environmental or technical signals, including pesticide, industrial-amine and mobile-phase artifact annotations; only one of eight top leads, a truncated oxidised phospholipid, was biologically plausible, and none had tandem-MS support. Conclusions. In this large community cohort, a literature-curated DBS metabolomic panel captured pathway-level biology associated with a questionnaire-derived PEM-like fatigue phenotype, showed directional concordance across LC gradients, scaled with symptom severity and remained robust to key demographic, anthropometric and anti-leak questionnaire baselines. The findings converge with several metabolic axes previously reported in ME/CFS plasma and serum studies, including carnitine-shuttle, TCA-cycle, redox-thiol, urea-cycle, glycerophospholipid and tryptophan-kynurenine pathways. They should not be interpreted as clinical validation of a diagnostic test, screening tool or objective provoked-PEM biomarker. Rather, they support at-home-compatible DBS metabolomics as a biologically grounded platform for future clinically adjudicated validation, decision-support development and longitudinal monitoring in fatigue and PEM-like syndromes. Because DBS contains cellular and plasma-derived components, matrix effects must be considered when comparing individual metabolites with venous plasma or serum studies, and hypothesis-free screening at this scale can preferentially surface exposome or technical variance unless molecular identification is enforced before biological interpretation.

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Human genetic evidence links serine biosynthesis to diabetic peripheral neuropathy

Fridman, V.; Kakar, A.; Jensen, A.; Van de Vondel, L.; Wheeler, A.; Phillips, L. S.; Zhou, J.; Zuchner, S.; Reusch, J.; Raghavan, S.

2026-06-10 genetic and genomic medicine 10.64898/2026.06.09.26355286 medRxiv
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Diabetic peripheral neuropathy (DPN) is a common and disabling condition for which no disease-modifying therapies are available. Glycemic and metabolic drivers do not fully explain why only a subset of individuals with diabetes develop DPN, and genetic contributors remain poorly defined. We aimed to perform a multi-population genome-wide association study (GWAS) of DPN to highlight potential new etiological pathways and therapeutic targets. Methods We performed a multi-population GWAS of neuropathy in people with and without diabetes using the VA Million Veteran Program and UK Biobank, followed by replication in the All of Us Research Program (AoU), and gene-based and gene-set analyses to identify implicated pathways. Causal relationships between circulating serine levels and DPN were further tested using two sample Mendelian randomization. To further evaluate pathogenic potential, we analyzed rare, high impact variants in GWAS implicated genes among individuals with unresolved inherited neuropathies using the GENESIS platform. Findings Among individuals with type 2 diabetes, we identified seven genome wide significant loci (p<5x10-): PHGDH and PSPH (key serine synthesis genes), TEAD1, CYP4F11, LARGE1, FTO, and COBLL1. No loci were significant in individuals without diabetes or with type 1 diabetes. Four loci (PHGDH, TEAD1, FTO and CYP4F11) replicated in AoU (p <0.05). Mendelian randomization demonstrated that higher genetically predicted serine levels were associated with lower DPN risk, consistent with a causal role of serine metabolism in disease pathogenesis. Rare-variant burden analyses revealed associations of predicted deleterious variants with inherited neuropathy case status in PHGDH (odds ratio [OR] 12.7 [95% CI 7.9, 20.4]), PSPH (OR 8.5 [7.2, 10.2]), PHKG1 (OR 4.8 [3.7, 6.3]), and LARGE1 (OR 0.007 [0.0004, 0.1]). Interpretation Convergent genetic evidence across common and rare variation implicates serine synthesis as a key pathway in DPN. These findings link diabetic and inherited neuropathies through a shared metabolic mechanism, identifying serine metabolism as a potential therapeutic target.

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Real-world safety profile of Enfortumab Vedotin: A comprehensive pharmacovigilance analysis based on the FDA Adverse Event Reporting System (FAERS)

Xu, Q.; Wang, S.; Sun, H.; Wei, X.; Zhong, J.; Cai, J.

2026-06-09 pharmacology and therapeutics 10.64898/2026.06.06.26355060 medRxiv
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Background: This study aimed to evaluate real-world adverse event (AE) signals of EV to provide evidence-based guidance for its safe clinical application. Methods: Data from the FDA Adverse Event Reporting System (FAERS) database from the period of 2019 Q1-2025 Q3 were analyzed. Disproportionality analysis algorithms, including the reporting odds ratio (ROR), proportional reporting ratio (PRR), Bayesian confidence propagation neural network (BCPNN), and empirical Bayes geometric mean (EBGM), were utilized to mine safety signals.The time to onset (TTO) was evaluated using the Weibull distribution model. Results: Among 11,697,906 reports, 4,177 EV-treated patients experienced 14,511 AEs. The most common System Organ Classes (SOCs) were skin and subcutaneous tissue disorders (18.23%), general disorders and administration site conditions (13.17%).Multi-algorithm consensus identified 179 positive signals. Alongside known toxicities (rash, peripheral neuropathy, hyperglycemia), potential new signals emerged, including dysgeusia, atypical skin lesions, and myelosuppression. Median TTO was 14 days, with the Weibull {beta} of 0.736, confirming an "early failure" profile. Subgroup analysis revealed toxicity heterogeneity: patients aged [&ge;]65 and females exhibited stronger signals for fatal severe cutaneous adverse reactions, while patients aged < 65 and males showed higher susceptibility to neurological and metabolic toxicities. Conclusions: The real-world safety profile of EV confirms known toxicities, reveals new risks (e.g., dysgeusia), and shows toxicity concentrated in the first treatment cycle. Clinical practice requires proactive monitoring during the first two weeks using demographic-specific strategies: vigilance for fatal skin toxicity in elderly and female patients, and close follow-up of neurological and metabolic indicators in younger and male populations.

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Oxygen-based endotypes of Obstructive Sleep Apnea

Wellman, A.; Messineo, L.; Azarbarzin, A.; Esmaeili, N.; Aishah, A.; Vena, D.; Sumner, J.; White, D.; Sands, S.

2026-06-04 respiratory medicine 10.64898/2026.06.03.26354835 medRxiv
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Objective: Several endotypes contribute to the development of Obstructive Sleep Apnea (OSA). However, efforts to measure these endotypes have been challenging. In this paper, we propose a new method that overcomes some of these challenges. Methods: To test the feasibility of this new method, data from the Sleep Heart Health Study (SHHS) were analyzed and two oxygen-based endotypes were identified and plotted on a graphical model: the steady-state SpO2 and the SpO2 arousal threshold. The first is the oxygen saturation that would occur during sleep if there were no arousals, and it is a measure of upper airway collapsibility (a more collapsible airway produces a lower SpO2). The latter is the oxygen saturation that triggers arousals. These endotypes were validated by assessing their ability to detect positional and state-related changes in airway collapsibility and arousal threshold. Results: The study showed that it was feasible to measure oxygen-based endotypes in 95% of SHHS participants. As expected, steady-state SpO2 was lower during supine vs. non-supine sleep, as well as during REM vs. NREM sleep. Also, the SpO2 arousal threshold was similar between supine and non-supine sleep. However, SpO2 arousal threshold was not lower in REM sleep vs. NREM sleep. Therefore, in 3 of the 4 conditions, the oxygen-based endotypes moved in the expected direction due to positional or sleep state changes. Conclusion: Although further validation experiments are required, this study indicates that OSA endotyping using the pulse oximetry signal is feasible. The oxygen-based endotypes could be used to aid therapeutic decision making.

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Shared epigenetic regulation acting on neuroimmune pathways contributes to the comorbidity between generalized anxiety disorder and COVID-19

Karaca, S.; Cabrera Mendoza, B.; He, J.; Qiu, D.; Davtian, D.; Lacobelle, A.; Nunez, Y. Z.; Krystal, J. H.; Pietrzak, R. H.; Gelernter, J.; Polimanti, R.

2026-06-04 genetic and genomic medicine 10.64898/2026.06.03.26354830 medRxiv
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Background: The biological mechanisms linking generalized anxiety disorder (GAD) and COVID-19 remain poorly understood, despite substantial evidence of their comorbidity. To address this gap, we examined genetic and epigenetic factors underlying their co-occurrence. Methods: In a multi-ancestry sample of 893 participants, we conducted genome-wide and epigenome-wide analyses of GAD and COVID-19 severity. Integrating large-scale genome-wide datasets and information regarding methylation quantitative trait loci, complementary analytic approaches were used to identify regional methylation patterns, assess genetically regulated DNA methylation in blood and brain tissue, and evaluate causal loci shared between GAD and COVID-19. Results: GAD was associated with epigenome-wide significant variation in loci involved in chromatin regulation and synaptic signaling. Conversely, COVID-19-related epigenetic signals were enriched in immune-inflammatory and host-response pathways. Mild COVID-19 was epigenetically related to endothelial-inflammatory signals, while severe COVID-19 was linked to epigenetic changes implicated in myeloid and thrombo-inflammatory pathways. Epigenetic signals shared between GAD and COVID-19 implicated processes related to stress adaptation and tissue homeostasis. Genetically informed analyses identified 60 shared loci, including MAPT, ZFP57, and FBXL18, indicating pleiotropy between GAD and COVID-19 in genetically regulated DNA methylation variation. Brain-specific analyses further highlighted convergence in additional loci (i.e., MICB and HLA-DPB1), suggesting neuroimmune mechanisms underlying GAD-COVID-19 shared methylation patterns. Conclusions: These findings support that GAD and COVID-19 share epigenetic and genetic architecture involving pathways related to vascular integrity, immune function, and cellular adaptation, highlighting a potential neuroimmune basis for their co-occurrence.

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TNFRSF13B Common Variants Enhance Antibody-Dependent Complement Activation and Susceptibility to Acute Respiratory Distress Syndrome Following Respiratory Viral Infection

Naing, L.; de Mattos Barbosa, M. G.; Connell, I. P.; Chicca, J.; Zhao, Z.; Reister, N. A.; Bruchez, A.; Greenspan, N.; McComsey, G.; Platt, J. L.; Cascalho, M.

2026-06-04 allergy and immunology 10.64898/2026.06.02.26354763 medRxiv
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Acute respiratory distress syndrome (ARDS) is a devastating complication of respiratory infections; however, the biological mechanisms that initiate its onset are poorly defined. Here we show that TNFRSF13B polymorphisms increase the risk of ARDS following SARS-CoV-2 infection up to 7.4-fold compared to the WT genotype. The increased risk was not due to immune-deficiency or impaired virus neutralization. On the contrary, TNFRSF13B mutant subjects mounted better antibody neutralization compared to subjects with WT TNFRSF13B. However, IgG from subjects expressing TNFRSF13B variants had less sialic acid, terminal galactose, and fucose than IgG from subjects with a WT genotype. Moreover, IgG from TNFRSF13B mutant subjects exhibited increased recruitment of complement factors. Thus, besides well-known actions governing plasma cell differentiation, TNFRSF13B impacts both affinity maturation and effector functions of IgG in ways that independently govern complement activation controlling inflammatory responses known to trigger ARDS.

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Don't stop the heart: a performance analysis of large language models and potassium dosing

Blotske, K.; Zhao, X.; Henry, K.; Murray, B.; Gao, Y.; Smith, S. E.; Wayne, N.; Ku, P.; Smith, B.; Moua, S.; Sikora, A.

2026-06-04 pharmacology and therapeutics 10.64898/2026.06.02.26354762 medRxiv
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Background: Electrolyte replacement is ubiquitous in the acute care setting, but its familiarity cannot belie that even small dosing errors with potassium can cause lethal cardiac arrhythmias. Recently, MedAgentBench offered a benchmark for agentic artificial intelligence (AI) including the ability to correctly dose potassium based on a single rule; however, this does not adequately reflect the clinical complexity or safety concerns of an agent that has been used as the lethal injection. The purpose of this analysis was to a probe leaderboard large language model (LLM) capabilities to follow basic dosing rules to safely replace potassium in a series of clinician-annotated cases. Methods: Using a clinician panel, we developed a series of dosing principles and 20 clinical cases reflective of the complexity of potassium replacement. External clinicians were surveyed to assess practice variability and agreement to clinician panel answers. We tested GPT-5-chat with each case in triplicate, with and without the clinician curated dosing principles, and prompted the model to answer six questions involving potassium goals, dosing, route, lab frequency, concurrent interventions, and the model's perceived level of confidence for the output and complexity of the case. The primary outcome was the rate of appropriate recommendations in comparison to clinician answers. Results: A total of 54 clinicians reviewed the 20 hypokalemia cases and hypokalemia dosing guideline. Clinicians expressed "highly agree" or "somewhat agree" for 66.8% of the cases evaluated when asked if they agree with the guideline-recommended management. When given the potassium dosing guideline, total errors dropped from 165 to 104, and average accuracy improved from 45% to 65% with GPT-5-Chat. GPT-5-Chat conveyed a high level of confidence for 100% of responses, while labeling 80% and 76% of cases as highly complex with and without the criteria, respectively. Potential harm scores were considerable in both groups, however, a notable reduction in severity scores occurred with the dosing guidance document. Recommendations on concurrent interventions and dosing had the highest rate of errors in both groups. Conclusions: Benchmarks must appropriately reflect clinical complexity to be considered valuable for the deployment of agentic artificial intelligence tools in the healthcare domain. GPT-5-Chat assessment on a comprehensive medication management task for potassium replacement showed improvement with dosing guidance, yet unfit benchmarking performance.

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Liver biopsy confirms precise and efficient correction of SERPINA1 after in vivo Base Editing in a Patient with Alpha-1 Antitrypsin Deficiency

Krooss, S. A.; Yang, T.; Yuan, Q.; Drick, N.; Sgodda, M.; Held, J.; Behrendt, P.; Hartleben, B.; Koczulla, R.; Ma, X.; Liu, Y.; Wedemeyer, H.; Janciauskiene, S.; Di Donato, N.; Cantz, T.; Wang, E.; Wu, Y.; Hoeper, M.; Xia, Q.; Ott, M.

2026-06-09 genetic and genomic medicine 10.64898/2026.06.01.26354551 medRxiv
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Background: Alpha-1 antitrypsin deficiency (AATD) caused by the PI*ZZ mutation (Glu342Lys) results in hepatic accumulation of misfolded AAT-Z protein and reduced circulating AAT levels, leading to progressive liver disease and emphysema. Gene correction therapy represents a potentially curative approach by directly correcting the underlying genetic defect. We report the first case of successful hepatic gene correction with early histological and functional assessment. Methods/Case presentation: We report the case of a 66-year-old male patient with PI*ZZ AATD who underwent gene correction therapy within the YOLT-202 phase I/Ia clinical trial (clinical trial.gov ID NCT07193615). Ten weeks post treatment a liver biopsy was performed to re-evaluate pre-existing F2 liver fibrosis as measured by elastography before entering the study. Serum samples allowed functional assessment of the AAT-mediated elastase inhibition. Results: Liver biopsy did not show signs of hepatic inflammation and demonstrated 54% (Sanger) and 57% (Illumina) gene correction rate of the PI*ZZ variant on the DNA level with no bystander edits or off-target effects. Following a transient elevation of transaminases during the early post-treatment period, liver enzymes normalized. Monthly serum AAT measurements demonstrated biologically active and stable therapeutic levels throughout follow-up. Conclusions: This case demonstrates efficient and precise hepatic gene correction without concerning histological alterations and with substantial improvement of functional parameters, supporting the feasibility and safety of gene editing approaches for AATD.

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Global practices in paediatric olfactory dysfunction: a cross-sectional survey of paediatric ENT surgeons

Spencer, G. M.; Karim, K.; Dzioba, A.; Graham, M. E.; You, P.; Hummel, T.; Gellrich, J.; Coyle, P.; Burns, H.; Peer, S.; Zawawi, F.; Lechien, J. R.; Schriever, V. A.; Bhargava, E. K.; Whitcroft, K. L.

2026-06-06 otolaryngology 10.64898/2026.06.04.26354942 medRxiv
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Background: Olfactory dysfunction (OD) in children remains underdiagnosed and poorly characterised. Despite its known impacts on nutrition, quality of life, safety awareness, and psychosocial development, no standardised diagnostic or management pathway currently exists for paediatric OD. This study aimed to characterise global practice patterns and identify diagnostic and therapeutic challenges unique to paediatric care. Methodology/Principal: A 44-item cross-sectional online survey was distributed to a verified international network of paediatric otolaryngologists across 36 countries via a closed professional platform. The survey assessed five domains: diagnostic practices, management protocols, technology and innovation, education and training, and barriers to effective care. Regional grouping was used to facilitate meaningful statistical comparisons. Categorical variables were evaluated using chi-square tests, with odds ratios and 95% confidence intervals reported for significant findings. Results: Of 351 potential participants, 167 responded (47.6% response rate). Most respondents (83%) reported seeing children with OD, yet 95% saw fewer than ten such patients annually. Psychophysical testing was never performed by 54.8% of respondents, while 88.4% routinely ordered cross-sectional imaging. Testing frequency increased significantly with patient age (Cochran's Q p<0.001). The most common barriers to objective testing were insufficient training (44.3%), time constraints (29.9%), and funding limitations (28.1%). Multidisciplinary collaboration was negligible. Significant regional variation was observed across most practice domains. Conclusions: Paediatric OD care is characterised by functional underinvestigation, fragmented multidisciplinary collaboration, and systemic educational gaps. These findings support urgent development of standardised clinical guidelines, age-appropriate validated assessment tools, and formal interdisciplinary care pathways.

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Incidence and Predictors of IOP-Lowering Treatment Following Detection of Referable Glaucoma in a Teleretinal Screening Program

Bolo, K.; Wong, B.; Do, J.; Ambite, J.-L.; Li, Z.; Kesselman, C.; Daskivich, L.; Xu, B.

2026-06-04 ophthalmology 10.64898/2026.06.02.26354782 medRxiv
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Purpose: To evaluate the incidence and baseline predictors of intraocular pressure (IOP)-lowering treatment following detection of referable glaucoma by teleretinal screening. Design: Retrospective cohort study. Methods: Participants were derived from a safety-net teleretinal diabetic retinopathy screening program (2013-2024). Participants included individuals who screened positive for referable glaucoma (cup-to-disc ratio [CDR] [&ge;]0.6 or CDR asymmetry [&ge;]0.2) and completed in-office diagnostic evaluation. The primary outcome was initiation of IOP-lowering treatment (medication, laser, or surgery) and the secondary outcome was intervention with surgery. Cumulative incidence functions were estimated, accounting for loss to follow-up. Fine-Gray models were used to identify baseline screening predictors to risk stratify each outcome. Glaucoma diagnosis was approximated using diagnostic codes and chart review. Results: 2,367 participants were included. The cumulative incidence of treatment was 19.6% (95% CI: 18.0-21.2) at Year 1 and 45.1% (42.1-48.1) at Year 8. Early treatment occurred primarily in glaucoma cases, whereas treatment accumulated longitudinally in glaucoma suspects, reaching 36.5% (31.6-41.5) by Year 8. Surgery was less common (8-year incidence: 5.3%). Baseline screening data predicted treatment and surgery, enabling risk stratification. At Year 8, cumulative incidence differed substantially between high- and low-risk groups (treatment: 59.9% vs. 31.2%; surgery: 9.7% vs. 1.0%). Older age (sub-distribution hazard ratio [SHR] 1.03 per year, p<0.001), Black race (SHR 1.50, p<0.001), and personal history of glaucoma (SHR 1.90, p<0.001) were associated with treatment; Asian race was protective (0.71, p=0.03). Older age (SHR 1.06, p<0.001), worse visual acuity (SHR 5.11 per logMAR unit, p<0.001), and screening at a hospital-based site (SHR 2.46, p=0.003) were associated with surgical treatment. Conclusion: Nearly half of safety-net diabetic patients screening positive for referable glaucoma initiated IOP-lowering treatment over 8 years, while few received surgery. Baseline screening characteristics enabled risk stratification of treatment and surgery. These findings address an evidence gap about longitudinal consequences of screening and suggest that its impact extends beyond detection of prevalent glaucoma to include identification of high-risk glaucoma suspects who warrant ongoing surveillance.

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Fatigue-associated DNA methylation and gene expression profiles differ by disease subtype and activity state in inflammatory bowel disease patients

Metselaar, P. I.; Mol, F.; Weiss, R.; van der Hoff, M. J.; Welting, O.; de Jonge, W. J.; Henneman, P.; te Velde, A. A.; Lowenberg, M.; Li Yim, A. Y. F.

2026-06-08 gastroenterology 10.64898/2026.06.05.26354816 medRxiv
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Background and Aims: Fatigue is a prevalent and disabling symptom in inflammatory bowel disease (IBD), yet its underlying biological mechanisms remain poorly understood. We aimed to characterize fatigue-associated molecular signatures in IBD patients by integrating DNA methylation and mRNA expression analyses. Methods: Peripheral blood was collected from 40 patients with Crohn's disease (CD), 29 with ulcerative colitis (UC), and 10 healthy controls. Fatigue severity was assessed continuously using the Multidimensional Fatigue Inventory (MFI). Epigenome-wide DNA methylation profiling and mRNA sequencing were performed, identifying differentially methylated regions (DMRs) and differentially expressed genes (DEGs) for active and quiescent CD and UC, adjusting for age, sex, and smoking status. Pathway enrichment analysis was performed on genes with differential methylation and expression. Results: In active CD, more severe fatigue was associated with transcriptional suppression of immune and metabolic pathways (246 DMRs; 1,090 DEGs), versus upregulation of mitochondrial and metabolic processes in quiescent CD (200 DMRs; 1,619 DEGs). In active UC, fatigue was associated with anabolic pathway upregulation and epigenetic silencing of neuroactive pathways (6,927 DMRs; 343 DEGs; 56 concordant genes). Quiescent UC showed transcriptional changes without significant epigenetic pathway enrichment (1,710 DMRs; 3,224 DEGs). Healthy controls exhibited a distinct profile spanning metabolic, immune, and neuronal pathways (8,621 DMRs; 395 DEGs). Fatigue-associated signatures were largely non-overlapping across all five groups. Conclusions: Fatigue-associated molecular profiles differed substantially by disease subtype and activity state, highlighting the biological heterogeneity of IBD-related fatigue and laying the foundation for multi-omics approaches to identify biomarkers and potential therapeutic targets.

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Pooled testing for SARS-CoV-2 surveillance in schools: real-world evaluation of transmission control, testing resources, and educational disruption

Colosi, E.; Calmon, L.; Fässli, M.; Koch, K.; Bielicki, J. A.; Colizza, V.

2026-06-04 infectious diseases 10.64898/2026.06.03.26354821 medRxiv
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Pooled testing programs were introduced during the COVID-19 pandemic to expand surveillance capacity while preserving testing resources, but evidence on their epidemiological impact in schools under real-world conditions remains limited. We analyzed data from the pooled testing program implemented in public primary schools of the canton of Basel-Landschaft, Switzerland, during the Fall-Winter 2021 Delta wave. We used an agent-based transmission model informed by pooled and individual testing results, school characteristics, contact networks, and community incidence. The model was fitted to pooled positivity ratios in four clusters of administrative areas with similar epidemic trajectories. We compared pooled testing with alternative protocols in terms of school transmission, testing volume, and student-days lost. During the study period, pooled testing was offered to 21'187 students across 62 public primary schools, with high and stable participation across clusters (mean 71-79%). The fitted model reproduced observed pool positivity trends well. Compared with pooled testing, reactive class closure, reactive screening, and symptomatic testing were associated with higher in-school transmission, with excess ranging from 50% to 87%, 63% to 104%, and 72% to 133% across clusters. Weekly individual screening achieved similar reductions in transmission but required 15-25 times more tests. Relaxing class closure after depooling substantially reduced student-days lost without increasing transmission. Under real-world conditions, pooled testing provided an effective and resource-efficient strategy to reduce SARS-CoV-2 transmission in primary schools. Combining early detection of asymptomatic infections with low testing demands, pooled testing offers a scalable approach to school surveillance and control for pandemic response in educational settings.

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Heterozygous MMACHC burden variants are associated with higher circulating vitamin B12 in the All of Us Research Program

Cai, L.; DeBerardinis, R. J.

2026-06-04 genetic and genomic medicine 10.64898/2026.06.03.26354855 medRxiv
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Heterozygous carriers of autosomal recessive disease variants are conventionally considered unaffected, yet population-scale genomic datasets reveal subclinical carrier phenotypes. MMACHC encodes a cobalamin-processing protein whose biallelic loss causes cobalamin C deficiency, an inborn error of intracellular cobalamin metabolism. We performed an unbiased quantitative phenome-wide association screen in All of Us Research Program v8 to identify phenotypes associated with rare heterozygous MMACHC burden variants. Serum/plasma vitamin B12 was the top quantitative association. Carriers had higher circulating B12 than non-carriers in adjusted analyses, but also higher homocysteine, suggesting that elevated circulating B12 does not reflect improved intracellular cobalamin function. Carriers were less likely to fall below conventional B12 insufficiency thresholds, indicating a potential diagnostic blind spot. A pathway-wide rare-variant gene-burden (All-by-All) gene-burden analysis placed this finding in broader biological context. Burdens in genes related to circulating B12 binding or intestinal absorption were associated with lower circulating B12. In contrast, burdens in several genes involved in cellular delivery and intracellular cobalamin handling were associated with higher circulating B12. This step-specific directionality supports a model in which elevated circulating B12 can reflect impaired cellular handling and consequent systemic accumulation rather than improved cellular cobalamin availability. Because EHR-derived B12 is shaped by heterogeneous clinical and medication contexts, prospective carrier-enriched studies with standardized methylmalonic acid, homocysteine, diet, supplement, medication, comorbidity, and symptom ascertainment are needed to evaluate functional-marker-based screening.

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Local Influenza Forecasts Outperform State-Level Forecasts in the United States

Kim, D.; Pasco, R.; Johnson, K. E.; Fox, S. J.; Reich, N. G.; Meyers, L. A.

2026-06-08 infectious diseases 10.64898/2026.06.04.26354836 medRxiv
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Accurate outbreak forecasts are critical for timely and effective public health response. In the United States, however, most forecasts are produced at the state level, which can mask substantial sub-state heterogeneity and limit their utility for local planning. We generated and evaluated forecasts of the percentage of Emergency Department visits attributable to influenza across 173 large metropolitan Health Service Areas (HSAs) using a gradient boosting quantile regression (GBQR) model, and compared their accuracy to forecasts derived from state-level data alone. At a one-week, two-week and three-week horizon, local forecasts outperformed state-based forecasts in 98.8%, 90.8%, and 78.6% of HSAs, respectively, achieving mean weighted interval scores that were on average a 39.2% lower (95% range: 5.9% to 76.7%), 19.6% lower (-6.3% to 59.5%) , and 11.4% lower (-11.7% to 44.9%), respectively. The performance advantage of local forecasting was strongest in HSAs representing a smaller share of their state's population and increased with the proportion of the HSA population living in urban areas and the number of metropolitan areas within a state. These results, based on an analysis of HSAs with populations greater than 250,000, demonstrate that fine-scale modeling can substantially improve forecast accuracy and highlight the potential value of local forecasts for outbreak preparedness and response.

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Prevalence and Clinical Significance of Adult-Onset Cancer Predisposition Variants in Pediatric Oncology

Maciaszek, J. L.; Pastor Loyola, V.; Cain, T.; Cardenas, M.; Blackburn, P. R.; Wilkinson, M. R.; Koo, S. C.; Wu, C.-H.; Li, C.; Wang, L.; Nichols, K. E.; Klco, J. M.; Eldomery, M. K.

2026-06-08 genetic and genomic medicine 10.64898/2026.06.07.26354365 medRxiv
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Purpose: Pathogenic or likely pathogenic (P/LP) variants are increasingly identified in genes more commonly associated with adult-onset cancer predisposition, but their prevalence and relevance to children who present with cancer remain unclear. Methods: We retrospectively analyzed 1,280 consecutive pediatric patients with cancer who underwent clinical germline sequencing, using a virtual panel, from 2021 to 2024. Genes with P/LP variants were categorized as aoCPG or pediatric-onset cancer predisposition genes (poCPG) according to cancer risk before age 18 years and pediatric surveillance recommendations. Variant relevance was adjudicated using tumor diagnosis/histopathology, immunohistochemistry, and tumor molecular features and classified as primary, secondary, or indeterminate. Results: Among 1,280 patients, 197 (15.4%) harbored 211 P/LP variants across 54 genes. Sixty-six variants (31.3%) occurred in aoCPG, 87 (41.2%) in poCPG, and 58 (27.5%) were heterozygous variants in autosomal recessive genes. Among adult-onset variants, 7 (10.6%) were primary, 54 (81.8%) secondary, and 5 (7.6%) indeterminate. Among pediatric-onset variants, 77 (88.5%) were primary and 10 (11.5%) secondary. Six patients (3 adult-onset variants; 3 pediatric-onset variants) received targeted therapy informed by germline/somatic sequencing results. Conclusion: In pediatric oncology, most variants in aoCPG are secondary rather than tumor-related findings. Tumor-informed interpretation, beyond variant classification, may improve reporting, counseling, and therapeutic decision-making

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Rare neurological and neurodevelopmental variants in ALS link to onset, survival and family history

O'Donoghue, C.; Kacar, E.; Gomes, T.; Costello, E.; Pender, N.; Peelo, C.; Ryan, M.; Heverin, M.; Byrne, S.; Bede, P.; Hardiman, O.; McLaughlin, R. L.; Byrne, R. P.

2026-06-10 genetic and genomic medicine 10.64898/2026.06.09.26354977 medRxiv
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Background: Neurological, neuropsychiatric, and neurodevelopmental disorders cluster in ALS families, sharing a common genetic architecture with ALS. Pathogenic variants in genes associated with other neurological, neurodevelopmental, or neuropsychiatric disorders may also co-occur in ALS and modify phenotype. We have sought to determine the prevalence and clinical pattern of likely-pathogenic/pathogenic (LP/P) non-ALS neurological, neurodevelopmental, and neuropsychiatric variants, alone and in combination with ALS-gene variants, in two large ALS cohorts. Methods: Whole-genome sequencing (WGS) of 469 Irish and 774 Answer ALS people with ALS (pwALS) was analysed for ClinVar LP/P variants associated with other neurological (n = 15541), neurodevelopmental (n = 9761), and neuropsychiatric (n = 321) phenotypes. Inheritance patterns for associated genes (autosomal recessive/autosomal dominant) along with the associated phenotype were validated using OMIM. Standardised clinical data included family history, site and age of onset, El Escorial category, survival, motor decline, and cognitive and behavioural assessments. Known ALS-gene variants and C9orf72 repeat expansion status were included for each cohort. Results: Non-ALS neurological variants were identified in 47/469 (10.0%) Irish and 69/774 (8.9%) Answer ALS participants, most frequently in hereditary spastic paraplegia-associated genes (3.2% Irish; 2.8% Answer ALS). Irish neurological variant carriers showed higher frequency of respiratory onset (10.6% vs 1.2%, Fisher's exact p = 0.002, {Phi} = 0.20) and fewer premorbid behavioural symptoms (0.92 +/- 0.56 vs 3.08 +/- 0.97, Cohen's d = -0.40). Neurodevelopmental variants occurred in 12/469 (2.6%) Irish and 20/774 (2.6%) Answer ALS participants. In the Irish cohort, neurodevelopmental variant carriers had significantly shorter survival in Cox proportional hazards model (log-rank p = 0.005), corresponding to a more than two-fold increased hazard of death (HR = 2.25, 95% CI 1.26-4.00), and had significantly increased familial burden of neuropsychiatric disorders among first- and second-degree relatives (negative binomial IRR for carriers = 2.41, 95% CI: 1.12-5.18, p = 0.025). Across combined cohorts, 18 individuals (Irish n = 8; Answer ALS n = 10) carried [&ge;]2 LP/P variants spanning ALS and non-ALS genes. Conclusion: Rare LP/P variants in genes associated with other neurological and neurodevelopmental disorders occur in up to 12% of pwALS across two independent cohorts. Carriers show distinct phenotypes, shorter survival, and characteristic family history patterns. These findings suggest that extended pleiotropic and oligogenic architectures may contribute to ALS heterogeneity.

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Spatiotemporal Dynamics of Human Metapneumovirus and Potential Impact of Respiratory Syncytial Virus Interventions in the United States

Li, K.; Perniciaro, S.; Kwon, J.; Grubaugh, N. D.; Weinberger, D. M.; Pitzer, V. E.

2026-06-04 infectious diseases 10.64898/2026.06.01.26354616 medRxiv
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Human metapneumovirus (HMPV) causes acute lower respiratory infections, primarily affecting young children and older adults, with seasonal outbreaks peaking annually in March or April in the United States and other temperate regions in the Northern hemisphere. However, the factors driving HMPV seasonality in the United States remain poorly understood. We analyzed laboratory-confirmed HMPV cases and age-specific emergency department visits across 10 US regions, fitting an age-stratified dynamic transmission model to assess spatiotemporal patterns and investigate the influence of environmental variables and viral interference from RSV on HMPV transmission rates. We found that models incorporating climate variables into the transmission rate, including vapor pressure, precipitation, potential evapotranspiration, and minimum temperature, could not capture the timing of HMPV activity across all regions. Instead, HMPV timing was associated with RSV activity, with the HMPV transmission rate reduced in the presence of RSV. We showed that, unlike RSV, only models incorporating viral interference could reproduce the biennial pattern of HMPV observed in some regions, characterized by alternating late-small and early-large epidemics. Furthermore, our model successfully reproduced post-COVID-19 HMPV and RSV epidemics and predicted that RSV interventions are not likely to lead to a substantial increase in HMPV activity despite decreasing competition from RSV. Our work unravels the spatiotemporal dynamics of HMPV and its interaction with RSV, informing future seasonal forecasting and intervention strategies for HMPV.

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Closing the Paediatric Gap: Adult-Trained AI Generalises Robustly to Paediatric Coeliac Disease Diagnosis

Jaeckle, F.; Gillett, P. M.; Kirkwood, K. J.; Natu, S.; Chan, J. Y. H.; Bateman, A. C.; Arends, M. J.; Soilleux, E. J.

2026-06-05 pathology 10.64898/2026.06.04.26354889 medRxiv
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Background Coeliac disease (CD) diagnosis on duodenal biopsies is limited by interobserver variability. We have previously demonstrated pathologist-level performance with our artificial intelligence (AI) model for the histopathological diagnosis of adult CD, but not in paediatric practice. As paediatric CD screening programmes expand internationally, accurate and scalable diagnostic tools are needed. We investigated whether an AI model trained exclusively on adult whole-slide images (WSIs) can generalise to paediatric CD diagnosis across independent centres. Methods A training and validation dataset of 9,958 WSIs from 8,421 adult patients (961 CD) from five centres was used to develop an ensemble of multiple-instance learning models using features from a foundation model. Testing was performed on 708 consecutive paediatric patients (86 CD) from two centres (Edinburgh and Southampton) not included in training. Model calibration was assessed, and probability outputs were grouped into clinically interpretable categories. Findings In adult cross-validation, the AI model achieved an area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) of 98.7%, sensitivity of 84.9%, specificity of 99.0%, and negative predictive value (NPV) of 98.1%. On testing (paediatric) datasets, performance remained high (AUC 98.8%, sensitivity 80.2%, specificity 98.4%, NPV 97.3%). Restricting analysis to predictions outside the intermediate-probability range (predicted CD probability <10% or [&ge;]65%; 85.3% of cases) improved sensitivity to 100% and specificity to 98.7%. No misclassifications were observed among high-confidence predictions (<2% or [&ge;]85%; 66.0% of cases). The expected calibration error was 0.03. Performance improved significantly when biopsies from both duodenal sites (bulb [D1] and descending [D2/3]) were considered. Interpretation Our AI model, trained on adult biopsies, generalises to paediatric CD diagnosis across centres and scanner platforms. Well-calibrated probability outputs provide clinically interpretable measures of diagnostic confidence and could support safe identification of CD-negative biopsies within defined thresholds. These findings demonstrate the feasibility of applying adult-derived AI models in paediatric populations and reinforce the importance of multi-site (D1 & D2) biopsy sampling.

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Consumer-Product Chemical Mixture and Systemic Inflammation: Survey-Weighted Analysis of Seven Urinary Biomarkers in NHANES 2005-2010

Jobe, N. I.

2026-06-10 occupational and environmental health 10.64898/2026.06.08.26355076 medRxiv
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Background: Endocrine-disrupting chemicals (EDCs) in consumer products are ubiquitously detected in human biospecimens, yet most epidemiological studies examine single chemicals rather than real-world co-exposures. We evaluated associations between a mixture of seven urinary chemical biomarkers and systemic inflammation. Methods: Survey-weighted log-log regression models adjusted for age, sex, race/ethnicity, poverty-income ratio, and survey cycle were conducted with Benjamini-Hochberg FDR correction (primary analysis, N=4,864). A sensitivity analysis additionally adjusted for body mass index and smoking status (N=4,494). Results: In the primary analysis, 5 of 7 chemicals showed significant associations after FDR correction: ethylparaben ({beta} = -0.056, FDR P < .001), propylparaben ({beta} = -0.026, FDR P = .007), bisphenol A ({beta} = +0.052, FDR P = .005), monoethyl phthalate ({beta} = +0.043, FDR P = .002), and monocyclohexyl phthalate ({beta} = +0.215, FDR P = .007). The WQS mixture index was significantly associated with CRP ({beta} = +0.056, 95% CI [0.031, 0.081], P < .001), with monocyclohexyl phthalate carrying the largest mixture weight (0.342). In the BMI- and smoking-adjusted sensitivity analysis, associations attenuated to null for all chemicals, though MCP preserved direction ({beta} = +0.129) and the WQS mixture direction was maintained ({beta} = +0.018). Two multiple imputation sensitivity analyses confirmed that monocyclohexyl phthalate was the only chemical to maintain a positive direction across all four analytical specifications (primary complete-case, BMI-adjusted complete-case, primary-aligned imputation, and BMI-adjusted imputation), reaching statistical significance in three of four specifications and providing convergent evidence of a robust MCP-inflammation association. Conclusions: The chemical mixture showed a significant collective association with systemic inflammation, consistent with a cumulative pro-inflammatory burden from co-exposure to multiple consumer product chemicals. These findings suggest that regulatory approaches should shift from single-chemical to mixture-based risk assessment frameworks for consumer product safety.